FMG - FutureManagementGroup AG

The five futures glasses in detail

Futures glasses	The blue futures glasses	The red futures glasses	The green futures glasses	The yellow futures glasses	The violet futures glasses
The five futures glasses in detail
Objective	To know the probable future developments in the environment	To know the possible surprises the future holds	To know the possible options for action	To determine the desired future and direction	To determine the necessary action to achieve the desired future
Guiding question	How will our market, work and life environments change in the next five to ten years?	How should we prepare for possible surprising events and developments in the future?	Which threats and opportunities for new markets, products, strategies, processes and structures will arise from these changes?	What does our company need to look like in five to ten years time in the sense of a strategic vision?	How do we need to design our strategy to realize the strategic vision?
Example	In 2020, one third of the population will be 60 or older.	A pandemic with an unknown virus could kill millions of people. September 11, 2001, November 9, 1989 (fall of the Berlin Wall)	We can increase our efficiency by using video-conferencing.	We will be the first provider of a conversational user interface for simple communication between man and computer.	We will establish a cooperation with a software research institute to develop the conversational user interface.
Objects of thought concerned	Assumption questions Future factors (trends technologies, issues) Signals Future projections Future scenarios Assumptions about the future	Surprise questions Surprises (event-based) Surprises (process-based)	Opportunity questions Future opportunities Vision candidates	Visions questions Mission (mission elements) Vision (Vision elements) Strategic guidelines	Strategy questions Objectives Projects Processes Systems Developing opportunities Contingency strategies
Perspective	Macro perspective Outward orientation		Micro perspective Inward orientation
Attitude	Detached Passive Observing		Involved Active Intervening
Mindset	Realistic Critical Analytical Experience based Conservative	Calculatedly pessimistic Analytic Creative Imaginative Progressive	Optimistic Creative Intuitive Imaginative Progressive Transformative	Optimistic and realistic at the same time Intuitive and analytic at the same time Progressive	Realistic Pragmatic Analytic Experience- based Progressive
Typical methods	Forecasting Delphi	Scenario methods Wild Card analysis Creative techniques	Impact analysis Creativity techniques	Decision techniques Conception techniques	Planning Project management